538 2025 Senate Races

538 2025 Senate Races. 538 Predictions for the Senate with and without expert forecasts Of those seats, 11 are currently held by Republicans, meaning Democrats have many more seats to defend in order to retain control of the chamber. There are 35 seats up in 2026 - including special elections in Florida and Ohio - of which 23 are held Republicans

2025 Senate Races To Watch Simin Natalie
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Democrats will need a net gain of four seats to retake control in 2027 This map includes a preliminary rating for each race.

2025 Senate Races To Watch Simin Natalie

Table 1 shows the FiveThirtyEight presidential and Senate polling averages as of Friday morning in the 11 races we rate as something other than safe Senate has 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats (including two independents) Use them to create and share your own Senate forecast

What 538's new primary polling averages say about 3 key Senate races. In 2022, the most recent midterm election cycle, the most expensive Senate race was in Georgia, drawing more than $385 million in ad spending There are 35 seats up in 2026 - including special elections in Florida and Ohio - of which 23 are held Republicans.

538's Forecast for the Senate, Governors', and House Races r/YAPms. Table 1 shows the FiveThirtyEight presidential and Senate polling averages as of Friday morning in the 11 races we rate as something other than safe Brown was polling a fraction ahead of Moreno throughout most of the race.